French 2027 poll: far-right Bardella edges ahead, Mélenchon surges

A new French poll projects far-right leader Jordan Bardella narrowly defeating former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe in a 2027 presidential runoff. Meanwhile, far-left figure Jean-Luc Mélenchon is registering a significant surge in support. The results signal a polarised political landscape in France ahead of the next election.

A new opinion poll on France's 2027 presidential election shows [Jordan Bardella](/politicians/jordan-bardella), the leader of the far-right Rassemblement National, narrowly edging out former Prime Minister [Édouard Philippe](/politicians/edouard-philippe) in a hypothetical second-round runoff. The survey points to a highly fragmented and polarised field as French voters begin to look ahead to the next election cycle.

Also notable in the poll is a significant surge in support for far-left veteran [Jean-Luc Mélenchon](/politicians/jean-luc-melenchon), whose figures suggest he remains a major force in shaping French political dynamics despite earlier predictions of his declining influence. His renewed momentum could complicate the calculus for centrist and left-wing candidates.

The poll underscores a broader trend seen across Europe, where far-right and far-left movements are gaining ground at the expense of traditional centrist parties. In France, the contest between Bardella and Philippe — should it materialise — would represent a stark choice between nationalist and moderate-conservative visions for the country's future.

With over two years still to go before the 2027 vote, analysts caution that polling at this stage carries significant uncertainty. Political fortunes can shift dramatically, particularly in France, where the presidential race historically tightens considerably in the final months before the election.